2-6 Staking Plan
Overview
A variation of the Logic System: aim to win 2 bets out of a sequence of 6 before restarting. Each bet in the sequence uses a predefined multiplier. Losses are carried forward into subsequent bets. Designed for backing favourites with reasonable strike rates.
How It Works
The sequence uses fixed multipliers: 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, 12
- Start with a target profit (e.g., 1% of bank = £10)
- Bet 1: stake to win 1× target. If it wins, you have 1 win towards the goal of 2.
- Bet 2: stake to win 2× target (plus any carried loss). Continue.
- Win 2 bets → restart the cycle with recalculated target based on new bank.
- Reach bet 6 without 2 wins → restart anyway (accept the loss).
Formula
\[S_n = \frac{M_n \times T + \sum L}{o_n - 1}\]Where:
- $S_n$ = stake for bet $n$ in the sequence
- $M_n$ = multiplier for position $n$ (1, 2, 4, 6, 8, 12)
- $T$ = target profit per bet
- $\sum L$ = cumulative losses so far in the cycle
- $o_n$ = decimal odds for bet $n$
Multiplier Sequence
| Position | Multiplier | Target (T=£10) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1× | £10 |
| 2 | 2× | £20 |
| 3 | 4× | £40 |
| 4 | 6× | £60 |
| 5 | 8× | £80 |
| 6 | 12× | £120 |
Parameters
| Parameter | Type | Default | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
target_pct |
number | 1 | Target profit as % of bank |
cycle_length |
number | 6 | Number of bets in sequence |
win_target |
number | 2 | Wins needed to restart |
multipliers |
number[] | [1,2,4,6,8,12] | Multiplier at each position |
Risk Assessment
- Risk Level: Medium
- Max Drawdown: Escalates with losses — multipliers grow, and losses are carried forward
- Recommended Bankroll: 200+ units
- Ruin Risk: Medium — 6-bet cap limits damage, but losses accumulate within cycles
When to Use
- Backing favourites with decent strike rates (>33%)
- You want a structured, finite recovery cycle
- You prefer mechanical rules with clear endpoints
When to Avoid
- Low strike-rate systems (won’t hit 2 wins in 6 often)
- Lay betting (not designed for it)
- Initial target above 3% of bank (can wipe out bank quickly)
Betfair Exchange Notes
- Designed for back betting on favourites
- Not suitable for lay betting
- Commission reduces effective profit per winner — factor into target
Related Plans
- Pro — More aggressive recovery with fixed target per market
- 6 Point Divisor — Another finite-cycle target plan
Sources
- Plan source: MarketFeeder — 2-6 Staking Plan
- Plan mechanics: Mathematical formulas and plan concepts are in the public domain